Yes, one has no way knowing which factors will outperform total market ahead of time. But I do know that the chances of an individual picking those winning factors before they outperform is slim to none. Thus, the total market approach is simpler and removes any navel gazing and future telling psychic ability from the equation.But you would have had no way of knowing that ahead of time. Cap-weighted total market or S&P500 isn't "simpler" or more complex, it's just different than something closer to equal-weight. International and fixed income and most other tilts etc. have also underperformed, but again there was no way to know that ahead of time.If one’s goals have been met with underperforming factors for many decades, then one could have exceed those same goals with a lot less volatility, complexity, stress, and hand wringing with a simple total market or s&p 500 fund.
Statistics: Posted by observe_and_judge — Sat Jun 15, 2024 3:43 am — Replies 31 — Views 4229