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Non-US Investing • Worrying about "covered expatriate" possibility, 8 years in advance

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Thank you all for your input and thoughts.

It seems I'm not worrying for nothing (or being concerned for nothing :P ), and that I'll have to keep staying informed and planning. And also I understand that things could change due to laws or asset values (an year of hyperinflation already does the trick...).

I want to find a strategy that can work and I can live with (i.e. not losing 40-70% of the family's net worth).
Here are some actionable scenarios, and I'd appreciate your feedback. (Again, I'm only looking for legal and legitimate options, and if I write an option that doesn't fit in this category I don't recommend anyone following it!)

1. Entire family keep green card forever and live in US "forever". No exit tax. No inheritance tax up to 13/6M.
2. Family leaves US before January 2033. No exit tax. No inheritance tax up to 13/6M, or more if no US assets.
3. Spouse and kids become US citizens. I gift everything to my spouse and my pension manages to stay <2M. We leave US but I'm not covered expat. No exit tax. No inheritance tax up to 13/6M.
4. Same as 3, but my pensions value is >2M. We leave and I'm a covered expat. Exit tax, but with gifting the tax amount can be minimized. 30% tax on future pension. I live my life gifting to my spouse my salary every year to own no assets. If I die before my spouse, no inheritance tax and eventually the children will receive the assets tax-free up to 13/6M.
4b. Same as 4, but my spouse dies first (sorry for being morbid). We set it up so that the children receive most of it, and I live with my pension and whatever they gift me every year (<180k/year, inflation indexed). The children receive the assets tax-free up to 13/6M.
5. Spouse and kids become US citizens. My pension becomes >2M. I gift most assets and leave and I'm a covered expat. Exit tax, but with gifting the tax amount can be minimized. 30% tax on future pension. Shortly after, spouse and children also renounce and become expats. We move all assets to non-US. Eventually the children will receive the assets tax-free. But to return to the US the children need to apply for a visa.
(Whenever I wrote tax-free I neglected non-US taxes)

And now some gray-area solutions.
6. To avoid becoming a covered expat at all costs, since the 2M threshold is on the net worth (assets - liabilities), could one buy a property asking for a mortgage, and gift the house immediately after? So if one has 3M assets, could one buy a 2M house with 1.6M mortgage, gift the house, and remain with a net worth of 3-1.6=1.4M? (I understand the mortgage remains a real liability and this scenario requires high trust in the family)
7. In scenario 4/4b (covered expat), since a 40% tax applies to gifts made from covered expats to US persons, could one transfer all assets to non-US, gift them all to a non-US person (a trusted relative for example), and then could the relative gift them to one of the children? I believe these steps would be tax-free, but I'm not sure this is considered acceptable.

Can you think of other ideas?

Thank you in advance for your feedback!

Statistics: Posted by roller_coaster — Sun Dec 07, 2025 2:25 am — Replies 8 — Views 990



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