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Personal Investments • is there a meaningful difference between "fresh" US government bonds and "reopening?"

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The CUSIP [the original poster mentions] is for a 10-year TIPS bond. The Dated Date was 7/15/24, and the Issue Date was 7/31/24. It matures on 7/15/34, and the coupon is 1.875%. If you purchased it at [the initial] auction, your real yield would be 1.883%.
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For the reopening, you could owe considerably more if market rates drop. That bond's real yield on Friday was about 1.665%, considerably less than the original auction yield. That means you might owe a bit more (for example, instead of $10,000, you'd be expected to pay about $10,130 plus accrued interest).
Besides the effect of the auction yield and accrued interest, the cost at the reopening auction will reflect the TIPS' index ratio on the 9/30/2024 issue date. All together if the auction yield came in at 1.665%, this would bring the total cost to $10,252 for $10,000 of face value. This is shown on row 21 of the table below along with the total cost for a range of other possible yields.

Code:

Row                   Col A        Col B  Formula in Column B  2              Face value       10,000  3             Index ratio      1.00237  4                  Issued    9/30/2024  5                 Matures    7/15/2034  6                  Coupon       1.875%  7  Previous interest date    7/15/2024  =COUPPCD(B4,B5,2,1)  8      Next interest date    1/15/2025  =COUPNCD(B4,B5,2,1)  9  Days in current period          184  =B8-B7 10       Days before issue           77  =B4-B7 11        Days after issue          107  =B8-B4 12     Number full periods           19  =COUPNUM(B4,B5,2,1)-1 13        Accrued interest        39.33  =B2*B3*(B6/2)*(B10/B9)

Code:

 14                            Cost Incl 15       Yield to maturity  Accrued Int 16                  1.400%       10,497  =B$2*B$3*(-PV(A16/2,B$12,B$6/2,1,0)+B$6/2)/(1+(A16/2)*(B$11/B$9)) 17                  1.450%       10,450   | | | 18                  1.500%       10,404   | | | 19                  1.550%       10,358   | | | 20                  1.600%       10,312   | | | 21                  1.665%       10,252   | | |  <=== 22                  1.700%       10,220   | | | 23                  1.750%       10,175   | | | 24                  1.800%       10,130   | | | 25                  1.850%       10,085   v v v 26                  1.900%       10,041  =B$2*B$3*(-PV(A26/2,B$12,B$6/2,1,0)+B$6/2)/(1+(A26/2)*(B$11/B$9))
Sources:
10-year TIPS auction 7/18/2024
Index ratios for the 1-7/8% TIPS maturing 7/15/2034
Upcoming Treasury Auctions
WSJ TIPS Quotes
Excel functions: COUPPCD, COUPNCD, COUPNUM, and PV

Statistics: Posted by #Cruncher — Sun Sep 08, 2024 9:28 pm — Replies 9 — Views 460



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